MA(9): $3.35
MA(20): $3.14
MACD: 0.087
Signal: 0.0792
Days since crossover: 10
Value: 49.28
Category: NEUTRAL
Current: 170,627
Avg (20d): 168,032
Ratio: 1.02
%K: 44.4
%D: 58.18
ADX: 20.65
+DI: 24.63
-DI: 22.92
Value: -55.6
Upper: 3.59
Middle: 3.14
Lower: 2.68
| Category | Current (BCFD) | Last Week | Last Year | 3 Yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dry Production | 105.2 | 105.8 | 101.7 | 100.87 |
| LNG Imports | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Canadian Imports | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 5.63 |
| Total Supply | 110.1 | 110.8 | 107.4 | 106.63 |
| Industrial Demand | 21.8 | 22.0 | 22.1 | 22.17 |
| Electric Power Demand | 35.0 | 37.0 | 38.6 | 35.13 |
| Residential & Commercial | 19.0 | 11.5 | 9.4 | 10.9 |
| LNG Exports | 16.0 | 15.8 | 12.4 | 12.07 |
| Mexico Exports | 6.4 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.37 |
| Pipeline Fuel | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 6.67 |
| Total Demand | 105.0 | 99.9 | 95.9 | 93.33 |
| Supply/Demand Balance | 5.1 | 10.9 | 11.5 | 13.3 |
TTF prices decreased to 10.993 EUR/MWh (-0.106). JKM prices decreased to 11.080 USD/MMBtu (-0.035). JKM is trading at a premium of 0.087 to TTF, indicating strong Asian demand.
Front month: NOV 25
As of 2025-10-10
Front month: NOV 25
As of 2025-10-10
JKM is trading at a premium to TTF, indicating strong Asian demand.
As of 2025-10-10
| Month | Price (EUR/MWh) |
|---|---|
| NOV 25 | 10.993 |
| DEC 25 | 11.112 |
| JAN 26 | 11.206 |
| FEB 26 | 11.222 |
| MAR 26 | 11.077 |
| APR 26 | 10.672 |
| MAY 26 | 10.531 |
| JUN 26 | 10.530 |
| JUL 26 | 10.559 |
| AUG 26 | 10.613 |
| SEP 26 | 10.697 |
| OCT 26 | 10.775 |
| Month | Price (USD/MMBtu) |
|---|---|
| NOV 25 | 11.080 |
| DEC 25 | 11.100 |
| JAN 26 | 11.295 |
| FEB 26 | 11.240 |
| MAR 26 | 10.955 |
| APR 26 | 10.500 |
| MAY 26 | 10.430 |
| JUN 26 | 10.505 |
| JUL 26 | 10.705 |
| AUG 26 | 10.845 |
| SEP 26 | 10.890 |
| OCT 26 | 10.905 |
| Date | Prediction | Lower Bound | Upper Bound |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-10 | $3.29 | $3.07 | $3.52 |
| 2025-10-11 | $3.28 | $3.06 | $3.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | $3.26 | $3.04 | $3.49 |
| 2025-10-13 | $3.28 | $3.05 | $3.5 |
| 2025-10-14 | $3.28 | $3.06 | $3.51 |
Current market data indicates a neutral sentiment with a technical score of -1/5. Traders should be aware of Fibonacci support at 3.12 and resistance at 3.24. The ML price forecast suggests a potential increase of 0.67%, with a range between 3.07 and 3.52. Given the bearish overall market sentiment and a significant change in fundamental balance (down 5.80 BCFD), traders may want to consider short-term volatility and potential risks around these levels.
The current fundamental balance is at 5.10 BCFD, indicating a slight oversupply. Producers should evaluate their hedging strategies in light of the bearish sentiment surrounding natural gas, with a sentiment score of -0.700. The moderate heating demand forecast suggests a need for careful production planning, especially in regions with high heating degree days (HDD). Producers should also monitor geopolitical risks and supply disruptions that could impact crude oil prices.
With the current market conditions, consumers should prepare for potential cost fluctuations in energy procurement. The moderate heating demand suggests stable supply, but the bearish sentiment in natural gas could lead to price declines, as indicated by a sentiment score of -0.700. Consumers should consider hedging options to mitigate risks associated with price volatility and ensure reliable supply amid changing demand patterns.
The energy market is currently characterized by a bearish overall sentiment with a sentiment score of -0.675. The fundamental balance reflects a slight oversupply, while the weather outlook indicates moderate heating demand across key regions. Analysts should focus on the divergence between ML price forecasts indicating a potential uptick and the prevailing bearish sentiment, as this could signal a shift in market dynamics. Close attention to geopolitical developments and supply disruptions is also warranted as they can significantly influence market conditions.